Saturday, October 30, 2010

 Rochester Business Journal did a snap poll in the last few days and their results are very interesting. Although Cuomo is still ahead, his lead isn't very commanding. He only garnered 45% of the vote. Paladino comes in second with 42%. Warren Redlich, the Libertarian candidate gets 7% and Jimmy McMillan gets 3%. This should be good news for supporters of Carl Paladino. The controversial candidate has been plagued with scandals, gaffes, and accusations of racism and homophobia.

Carl Paladino is the favored candidate of New York's Tea Party movement; and despite the setbacks, their support is solid, with many in the Tea Party set to vote for Carl, and the other candidates that were attracted to Carl's Taxpayers Party Line. In New York this year, if you want to know who the Tea Party supports, just look for candidates with "Taxpayers" next to their name on the ballot. Conservative values are set to win big this year, and even in the entrenched Liberal stronghold that is New York, things are looking good for the conservative minded candidates.

If the state gubernatorial election were held today, a plurality of respondents to this week's RBJ Daily Report Snap Poll say they would vote for Democrat Andrew Cuomo-and his running mate, Rochester Mayor Robert Duffy.
Cuomo, the state attorney general, topped Republican Carl Paladino by a three-point margin, 45 percent to 42 percent.
In a Snap Poll conducted in September after Paladino beat former Rep. Rick Lazio in the GOP primary, respondents favored the Buffalo developer by a 10-point margin.
Seven percent of respondents in this week's poll said they would pick Libertarian candidate Warren Redlich. Jimmy McMillan, candidate for the Rent Is 2 Damn High Party, garnered 3 percent of the vote.

 We can also see from this recent poll that, despite the main stream media showing that Republicans have no chance,  when we look to independent polls, we see that Siena, Marist, and Quinnipiac, along with big shots CNN, are all either skewing the numbers, or using out of date polling methods. This years Senate race was looking pretty bleak for the Republican candidates, but this latest poll shows that the tides may be turning.

Also on the ballot next week are two U.S. Senate races. In the Snap Poll, Republican Joseph DioGuardi edged Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, 51 percent to 46 percent. Respondents favored Democratic Sen. Charles Schumer over Republican Jay Townsend, 50 percent to 48 percent, in the other Senate race.

Political insiders have been speculating for weeks that the big polls may be off kilter this election cycle, and if they are right we will see a few more polls that look more favorably on the Conservative candidates.